Saturday 15 October 2016, 21:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
58%
27%
16%
Home win
57.7%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
15.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Lille | 15.7% | 6.35 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 9.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.3% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.3% | 5.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.0% | 12.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Lille | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
6.6
|
2.5
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.6
|
12.0
|
3.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.8
|
8.9
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
4.6
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Guingamp
0-2
Lille
Aug 2018
Lille
3-0
Guingamp
Apr 2018
Lille
2-2
Guingamp
Sep 2017
Guingamp
1-0
Lille
Apr 2017
Lille
3-0
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.