Saturday 16 September 2017, 21:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
47%
29%
24%
Home win
47.4%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
23.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Lille | 23.6% | 4.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.0% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.0% | 9.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.30 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| No | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Lille | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.0
|
8.4
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
13.5
|
5.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
8.8
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Guingamp
0-2
Lille
Aug 2018
Lille
3-0
Guingamp
Apr 2018
Lille
2-2
Guingamp
Apr 2017
Lille
3-0
Guingamp
Oct 2016
Guingamp
1-0
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.