Saturday 19 August 2017, 21:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
65%
21%
14%
Home win
65.1%
Draw
21.4%
Away win
13.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.4% | 4.68 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 13.6% | 7.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.3% | 15.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.6% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.1% | 6.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Nice / Guingamp | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.3
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.2
|
10.2
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.9
|
9.8
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
6.6
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Nice
3-0
Guingamp
Dec 2018
Guingamp
0-0
Nice
Mar 2018
Guingamp
2-5
Nice
Jan 2017
Nice
3-1
Guingamp
Nov 2016
Guingamp
0-1
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.