Friday 11 August 2017, 20:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
66%
21%
12%
Home win
66.5%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
12.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes | 12.3% | 8.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.0% | 14.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.5% | 4.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.4% | 6.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Nice / Estac Troyes | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Estac Troyes | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.0
|
4.2
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
10.1
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.9
|
9.6
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.6
|
6.4
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.3
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
Estac Troyes
0-1
Nice
Oct 2022
Nice
3-2
Estac Troyes
Apr 2022
Nice
1-0
Estac Troyes
Oct 2021
Estac Troyes
1-0
Nice
Apr 2018
Estac Troyes
0-2
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.