Sunday 30 April 2017, 22:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
34%
31%
36%
Home win
33.5%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
35.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.7% | 8.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.3% | 2.91 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.4% | 13.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Nice / Paris Saint Germain | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Paris Saint Germain | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.7
|
11.5
|
7.0
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
14.2
|
7.6
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
7.3
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.6
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Nice
0-4
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 2025
Paris Saint Germain
1-0
Nice
Apr 2025
Paris Saint Germain
1-3
Nice
Oct 2024
Nice
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
May 2024
Nice
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
Sep 2023
Paris Saint Germain
2-3
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.