Friday 7 April 2017, 21:45
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
27%
33%
40%
Home win
26.9%
Draw
32.8%
Away win
40.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Nice | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.4% | 6.50 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.0% | 7.72 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.6% | 21.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Lille / Nice | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.4
|
15.1
|
8.6
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
14.1
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
5.6
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.4
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Lille
0-0
Nice
Oct 2025
Nice
2-0
Lille
Jan 2025
Lille
2-1
Nice
Nov 2024
Nice
2-2
Lille
May 2024
Lille
2-2
Nice
Aug 2023
Nice
1-1
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.