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Saturday 1 April 2017, 20:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
35% 33% 32%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
33.3%
Away win
32.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 34.6% 2.89
Draw 33.3% 3.00
Lille 32.1% 3.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.4% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.6% 6.40
Over 1.5 57.7% 1.73
Under 1.5 42.3% 2.36
Over 2.5 29.9% 3.35
Under 2.5 70.1% 1.43
Over 3.5 12.7% 7.88
Under 3.5 87.3% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.5% 22.30
Under 4.5 95.5% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.6% 2.59
No 61.4% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 67.9% 1.47
Bastia / Lille 66.7% 1.50
Draw / Lille 65.4% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.6
13.0
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
13.7
14.3
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
7.1
6.6
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
2.3
2.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Lille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.