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Wednesday 1 March 2017, 20:30 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
2–2
HT 0–0
45% 32% 23%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
23.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 45.2% 2.21
Draw 31.5% 3.17
Nantes 23.3% 4.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.4% 6.92
Over 1.5 59.9% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.1% 2.49
Over 2.5 32.1% 3.12
Under 2.5 67.9% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.1% 7.09
Under 3.5 85.9% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.32
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.9% 2.57
No 61.1% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 76.7% 1.30
Bastia / Nantes 68.5% 1.46
Draw / Nantes 54.8% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.4
9.9
4.2
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
15.7
13.7
5.1
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
9.9
7.8
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
4.0
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Nantes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.