Skip to content
Friday 17 February 2017, 21:45 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
12% 19% 69%
Home win
12.1%
Draw
19.2%
Away win
68.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 12.1% 8.28
Draw 19.2% 5.22
Monaco 68.8% 1.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.03
Over 1.5 82.1% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.9% 5.59
Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.6% 2.66
Under 3.5 62.4% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.7% 1.93
No 48.3% 2.07

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 31.2% 3.20
Bastia / Monaco 80.8% 1.24
Draw / Monaco 87.9% 1.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
9.6
11.4
8.6
4.9
2.2
1
3.3
9.1
9.7
7.3
4.1
1.9
2
1.6
3.6
4.1
3.1
1.7
0.8
3
0.5
1.0
1.2
0.9
0.5
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.