Saturday 4 February 2017, 18:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
58%
22%
19%
Home win
58.5%
Draw
22.5%
Away win
19.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.5% | 4.45 | — | — |
| Nice | 19.0% | 5.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.8% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.2% | 19.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.8% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.7% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Monaco / Nice | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.2
|
4.4
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.7
|
10.5
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
9.9
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.2
|
6.6
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
3.3
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Nice
0-0
Monaco
Oct 2025
Monaco
2-2
Nice
Mar 2025
Monaco
2-1
Nice
Oct 2024
Nice
2-1
Monaco
Feb 2024
Nice
2-3
Monaco
Sep 2023
Monaco
0-1
Nice
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.