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Tuesday 7 February 2017, 20:00 Stade de la Mosson Full time
1–2
HT 0–2
14% 16% 69%
Home win
14.5%
Draw
16.1%
Away win
69.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 14.5% 6.92
Draw 16.1% 6.19
Monaco 69.4% 1.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.2% 1.02
Under 0.5 1.8% 54.91
Over 1.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 1.5 7.4% 13.54
Over 2.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 2.5 20.9% 4.79
Over 3.5 60.7% 1.65
Under 3.5 39.3% 2.54
Over 4.5 41.2% 2.42
Under 4.5 58.8% 1.70

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 69.6% 1.44
No 30.4% 3.28

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 30.6% 3.27
Montpellier / Monaco 83.9% 1.19
Draw / Monaco 85.5% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.8
3.9
6.2
6.0
4.3
2.5
1
1.6
6.0
8.2
7.9
5.7
3.3
2
1.3
3.7
5.4
5.2
3.8
2.2
3
0.6
1.6
2.4
2.3
1.7
1.0
4
0.2
0.5
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.3
5
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.