Saturday 11 February 2017, 21:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
92%
6%
2%
Home win
91.8%
Draw
5.9%
Away win
2.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 5.9% | 17.08 | — | — |
| Metz | 2.4% | 42.23 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.0% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.0% | 102.35 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.7% | 21.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 14.4% | 6.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 97.6% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Monaco / Metz | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 8.2% | 12.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
3.3
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.5
|
6.7
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.7
|
6.8
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
8.0
|
5.6
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Metz
1-2
Monaco
Sep 2025
Monaco
5-2
Metz
Mar 2024
Metz
2-5
Monaco
Oct 2023
Monaco
2-1
Metz
Apr 2022
Metz
1-2
Monaco
Dec 2021
Monaco
4-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.