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Wednesday 8 February 2017, 20:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
39% 26% 35%
Home win
38.6%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
35.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 38.6% 2.59
Draw 26.1% 3.83
Dijon 35.3% 2.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.8% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.2% 16.15
Over 1.5 79.2% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.8% 4.82
Over 2.5 55.4% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.6% 2.24
Over 3.5 33.1% 3.03
Under 3.5 66.9% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.8% 5.94
Under 4.5 83.2% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.3% 1.69
No 40.7% 2.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 64.7% 1.55
Metz / Dijon 73.9% 1.35
Draw / Dijon 61.4% 1.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.2
7.1
5.5
2.6
0.9
0.3
1
7.5
12.3
8.2
3.9
1.4
0.4
2
6.1
8.6
6.1
2.9
1.0
0.3
3
3.0
4.3
3.0
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
1.1
1.6
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Dijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.