Sunday 12 February 2017, 22:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
26%
33%
41%
Home win
25.6%
Draw
33.1%
Away win
41.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Marseille | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.0% | 6.24 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 29.1% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 12.2% | 8.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.3% | 23.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.7% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.1% | 2.69 | — | — |
| No | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Nantes / Marseille | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.0
|
15.8
|
9.0
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.3
|
13.9
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
4.8
|
5.2
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Nantes
3-0
Marseille
Jan 2026
Marseille
0-2
Nantes
Mar 2025
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Nov 2024
Nantes
1-2
Marseille
Mar 2024
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Sep 2023
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.