Saturday 14 January 2017, 21:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
60%
27%
14%
Home win
59.7%
Draw
26.8%
Away win
13.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 59.7% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
| Nantes | 13.5% | 7.40 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.6% | 7.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.7% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.6% | 6.03 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.5% | 15.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.6% | 2.81 | — | — |
| No | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Nantes | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 40.3% | 2.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.6
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.7
|
11.5
|
3.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.1
|
8.3
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.2
|
4.2
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.8
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Sep 2025
Toulouse
2-2
Nantes
Apr 2025
Nantes
0-0
Toulouse
Aug 2024
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
Feb 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Nantes
Aug 2023
Nantes
1-2
Toulouse
May 2023
Toulouse
0-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.