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Saturday 17 December 2016, 21:00 Stadium Municipal Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
56% 28% 16%
Home win
56.1%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
15.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 56.1% 1.78
Draw 28.2% 3.54
Nancy 15.6% 6.40

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.8% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.2% 7.59
Over 1.5 62.2% 1.61
Under 1.5 37.8% 2.65
Over 2.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 2.5 65.5% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.34
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.61
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.6% 2.73
No 63.4% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 84.4% 1.19
Toulouse / Nancy 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Nancy 43.9% 2.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.2
7.2
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
17.4
12.1
3.6
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
13.1
8.3
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
6.3
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.3
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.