Friday 24 February 2017, 20:00
Stade de la Beaujoire
Full time
37%
30%
33%
Home win
37.0%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
33.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 37.0% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Dijon | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.6% | 9.40 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.4% | 4.89 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.6% | 11.64 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes / Draw | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Nantes / Dijon | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.6
|
10.2
|
6.2
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.0
|
14.0
|
7.4
|
2.8
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
7.9
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.2
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Dijon
0-4
Nantes
Dec 2020
Nantes
1-1
Dijon
Feb 2020
Dijon
3-3
Nantes
Dec 2019
Nantes
1-0
Dijon
May 2019
Nantes
3-0
Dijon
Aug 2018
Dijon
2-0
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.