Saturday 11 February 2017, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
58%
22%
20%
Home win
57.9%
Draw
22.4%
Away win
19.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.4% | 4.46 | — | — |
| Caen | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.0% | 20.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.5% | 5.73 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.7% | 4.83 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Dijon / Caen | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.0
|
4.3
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
8.2
|
10.4
|
5.4
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
9.9
|
5.5
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
6.7
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.0
|
3.4
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.2
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Caen
1-0
Dijon
Sep 2018
Dijon
0-2
Caen
Feb 2018
Dijon
2-0
Caen
Sep 2017
Caen
2-1
Dijon
Dec 2016
Caen
3-3
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.