Skip to content
Saturday 25 February 2017, 21:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa Full time
3–0
HT 1–0
43% 33% 25%
Home win
42.6%
Draw
32.9%
Away win
24.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 42.6% 2.35
Draw 32.9% 3.04
Bastia 24.6% 4.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 0.5 15.9% 6.29
Over 1.5 57.1% 1.75
Under 1.5 42.9% 2.33
Over 2.5 29.3% 3.41
Under 2.5 70.7% 1.42
Over 3.5 12.4% 8.10
Under 3.5 87.6% 1.14
Over 4.5 4.3% 23.13
Under 4.5 95.7% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.0% 2.70
No 63.0% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 75.4% 1.33
Angers / Bastia 67.2% 1.49
Draw / Bastia 57.4% 1.74

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.9
10.9
4.6
1.2
0.2
0.0
1
16.0
13.8
5.1
1.3
0.3
0.0
2
9.4
7.3
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
3.5
2.7
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.