Saturday 18 February 2017, 21:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
43%
30%
28%
Home win
42.5%
Draw
29.7%
Away win
27.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.7% | 3.37 | — | — |
| Lille | 27.8% | 3.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.1% | 9.04 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.6% | 5.11 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.1% | 12.36 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Caen / Lille | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.1
|
9.4
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.4
|
13.9
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
8.4
|
4.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.7
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Caen
1-3
Lille
Oct 2018
Lille
1-0
Caen
Jan 2018
Caen
0-1
Lille
Aug 2017
Lille
0-2
Caen
Nov 2016
Lille
4-2
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.