Friday 17 March 2017, 21:45
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
37%
29%
34%
Home win
36.9%
Draw
29.4%
Away win
33.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.4% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Marseille | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.1% | 9.89 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.5% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.2% | 10.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Lille / Marseille | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.1
|
10.0
|
6.2
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.6
|
13.9
|
7.6
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.9
|
8.0
|
4.6
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.8
|
3.2
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Marseille
1-2
Lille
Dec 2025
Lille
1-0
Marseille
May 2025
Lille
1-1
Marseille
Dec 2024
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Apr 2024
Lille
3-1
Marseille
Nov 2023
Marseille
0-0
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.