Sunday 5 March 2017, 16:00
Stade du Moustoir
Full time
33%
26%
41%
Home win
33.1%
Draw
26.4%
Away win
40.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Marseille | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.3% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient / Draw | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Lorient / Marseille | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 66.9% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
8.1
|
6.6
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
12.4
|
8.8
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.2
|
7.9
|
5.9
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
3.5
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Lorient
2-0
Marseille
Sep 2025
Marseille
4-0
Lorient
May 2024
Marseille
3-1
Lorient
Dec 2023
Lorient
2-4
Marseille
Apr 2023
Lorient
0-0
Marseille
Jan 2023
Marseille
3-1
Lorient
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.