Sunday 23 April 2017, 16:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
29%
33%
38%
Home win
29.1%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
38.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Nice | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.7% | 6.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.8% | 7.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.0% | 19.96 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| No | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Nice | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.7
|
14.1
|
8.0
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
14.2
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
6.0
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Toulouse
5-1
Nice
Aug 2025
Nice
0-1
Toulouse
Feb 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Nice
Aug 2024
Nice
1-1
Toulouse
Mar 2024
Toulouse
2-1
Nice
Nov 2023
Nice
1-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.