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Saturday 5 August 2017, 21:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
31% 31% 38%
Home win
31.2%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
37.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 31.2% 3.21
Draw 30.9% 3.24
Nice 37.9% 2.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.8% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.2% 8.18
Over 1.5 64.6% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.4% 2.82
Over 2.5 36.9% 2.71
Under 2.5 63.1% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.5% 5.73
Under 3.5 82.5% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.9% 14.45
Under 4.5 93.1% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.5% 2.25
No 55.5% 1.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 62.1% 1.61
Saint Etienne / Nice 69.1% 1.45
Draw / Nice 68.8% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.2
12.3
7.6
2.9
0.8
0.2
1
10.8
14.2
7.7
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
5.9
6.8
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
2.0
2.3
1.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Nice goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.