Wednesday 17 May 2017, 22:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
75%
17%
8%
Home win
75.1%
Draw
17.1%
Away win
7.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.1% | 5.85 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 7.8% | 12.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.31 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.5% | 4.89 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.4% | 5.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| No | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Monaco / Saint Etienne | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 24.9% | 4.01 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.8
|
8.1
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.2
|
8.8
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.0
|
6.8
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
6.3
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Saint Etienne
1-3
Monaco
Aug 2024
Monaco
1-0
Saint Etienne
Apr 2022
Saint Etienne
1-4
Monaco
Sep 2021
Monaco
3-1
Saint Etienne
Mar 2021
Saint Etienne
0-4
Monaco
Dec 2020
Monaco
2-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.