Sunday 23 April 2017, 22:15
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
31%
23%
46%
Home win
31.1%
Draw
22.9%
Away win
46.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.9% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Monaco | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.73 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.8% | 7.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.0% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| No | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Lyon / Monaco | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
5.2
|
5.6
|
3.6
|
1.8
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
4.1
|
9.6
|
8.8
|
5.7
|
2.8
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
3.7
|
7.1
|
7.0
|
4.5
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
3.8
|
3.7
|
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Lyon
1-2
Monaco
Jan 2026
Monaco
1-3
Lyon
May 2025
Monaco
2-0
Lyon
Aug 2024
Lyon
0-2
Monaco
Apr 2024
Lyon
3-2
Monaco
Dec 2023
Monaco
0-1
Lyon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.