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Sunday 16 April 2017, 18:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
21% 24% 55%
Home win
21.0%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
54.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 21.0% 4.77
Draw 24.5% 4.08
Lyon 54.6% 1.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.4% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.6% 15.14
Over 1.5 77.9% 1.28
Under 1.5 22.1% 4.53
Over 2.5 53.6% 1.87
Under 2.5 46.4% 2.15
Over 3.5 31.3% 3.19
Under 3.5 68.7% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.6% 6.42
Under 4.5 84.4% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 54.3% 1.84
No 45.7% 2.19

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 45.4% 2.20
Bastia / Lyon 75.5% 1.32
Draw / Lyon 79.0% 1.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.6
10.0
9.5
5.7
2.6
0.9
1
5.5
11.6
9.8
5.9
2.6
0.9
2
3.2
5.7
5.1
3.0
1.4
0.5
3
1.1
1.9
1.7
1.0
0.5
0.2
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.