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Saturday 8 April 2017, 21:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
1–2
HT 1–1
60% 24% 16%
Home win
59.7%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
15.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 59.7% 1.68
Draw 24.4% 4.09
Bastia 15.9% 6.30

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.80
Over 1.5 72.9% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.1% 3.69
Over 2.5 46.8% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.2% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.3% 3.96
Under 3.5 74.7% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.5% 8.67
Under 4.5 88.5% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.9% 2.18
No 54.1% 1.85

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 84.1% 1.19
Dijon / Bastia 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Bastia 40.3% 2.48

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
5.5
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
13.1
11.5
4.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
12.1
9.6
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
7.1
5.6
2.2
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
3.1
2.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Bastia goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.