Sunday 19 March 2017, 18:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
36%
31%
33%
Home win
35.5%
Draw
31.0%
Away win
33.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.3% | 8.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.8% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.9% | 14.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Dijon / Saint Etienne | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.3
|
11.4
|
6.5
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.8
|
14.2
|
7.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.0
|
7.4
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
2.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2021
Saint Etienne
0-1
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-0
Saint Etienne
Aug 2019
Dijon
1-2
Saint Etienne
Feb 2019
Dijon
0-1
Saint Etienne
Dec 2018
Saint Etienne
3-0
Dijon
Mar 2018
Saint Etienne
2-2
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.