Saturday 15 April 2017, 22:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
88%
8%
4%
Home win
88.3%
Draw
8.1%
Away win
3.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 8.1% | 12.30 | — | — |
| Dijon | 3.5% | 28.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.5% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 1.5% | 64.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.9% | 14.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 19.6% | 5.11 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 37.5% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 43.2% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Monaco / Dijon | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 11.7% | 8.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
4.6
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
6.2
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.4
|
7.4
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.4
|
6.7
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.8
|
4.8
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Monaco
3-0
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-1
Monaco
Feb 2020
Dijon
1-1
Monaco
Nov 2019
Monaco
1-0
Dijon
Jan 2019
Dijon
2-0
Monaco
Oct 2018
Monaco
2-2
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.