Saturday 27 October 2018, 21:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
78%
13%
8%
Home win
78.4%
Draw
13.2%
Away win
8.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.2% | 7.60 | — | — |
| Dijon | 8.4% | 11.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.0% | 48.95 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 8.4% | 11.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 23.0% | 4.35 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60.1% | 1.67 | — | — |
| No | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Monaco / Dijon | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.0
|
1.4
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.0
|
5.5
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
8.2
|
8.0
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.4
|
8.2
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
6.4
|
6.3
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
4.0
|
3.9
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Monaco
3-0
Dijon
Dec 2020
Dijon
0-1
Monaco
Feb 2020
Dijon
1-1
Monaco
Nov 2019
Monaco
1-0
Dijon
Jan 2019
Dijon
2-0
Monaco
Feb 2018
Monaco
4-0
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.