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Sunday 7 October 2018, 18:00 Stade Louis II Full time
1–2
HT 0–1
65% 21% 14%
Home win
65.1%
Draw
20.7%
Away win
14.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco 65.1% 1.54
Draw 20.7% 4.82
Rennes 14.1% 7.07

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.33
Over 1.5 80.9% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.1% 5.23
Over 2.5 58.0% 1.72
Under 2.5 42.0% 2.38
Over 3.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 3.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 4.5 18.7% 5.33
Under 4.5 81.3% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.5% 1.90
No 47.5% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Monaco / Draw 85.9% 1.16
Monaco / Rennes 79.3% 1.26
Draw / Rennes 34.9% 2.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
3.8
1.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
9.8
9.8
4.1
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
11.1
9.9
4.4
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
7.8
7.0
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
4.2
3.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.8
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Monaco goals. Columns: Rennes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.