Sunday 30 September 2018, 16:00
Roazhon Park
Full time
49%
30%
21%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
30.0%
Away win
21.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.0% | 3.33 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 21.2% | 4.71 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.0% | 2.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.1% | 6.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.9% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.2% | 16.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.8% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| No | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes / Draw | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Rennes / Toulouse | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.0
|
8.8
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.4
|
13.4
|
4.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.7
|
8.3
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Rennes
1-0
Toulouse
Oct 2025
Toulouse
2-2
Rennes
May 2025
Toulouse
2-1
Rennes
Nov 2024
Rennes
0-2
Toulouse
Apr 2024
Rennes
1-2
Toulouse
Dec 2023
Toulouse
0-0
Rennes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.