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Saturday 25 August 2018, 21:00 Stadium de Toulouse Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
27% 24% 49%
Home win
26.6%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
49.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 26.6% 3.76
Draw 24.1% 4.15
Nimes 49.3% 2.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 20.03
Over 1.5 82.6% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.4% 5.74
Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.5% 2.53
Over 3.5 38.2% 2.62
Under 3.5 61.8% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.7% 4.83
Under 4.5 79.3% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.7% 1.62
No 38.3% 2.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 50.7% 1.97
Toulouse / Nimes 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Nimes 73.4% 1.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
7.4
7.3
4.5
2.0
0.7
1
5.1
11.0
9.5
5.8
2.7
1.0
2
3.7
6.8
6.2
3.8
1.7
0.6
3
1.6
2.9
2.7
1.6
0.7
0.3
4
0.5
1.0
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Nimes goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.