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Sunday 19 August 2018, 18:00 Stadium de Toulouse Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
32% 31% 38%
Home win
31.8%
Draw
30.6%
Away win
37.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 31.8% 3.14
Draw 30.6% 3.27
Bordeaux 37.6% 2.66

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.50
Over 1.5 65.6% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.4% 2.91
Over 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Under 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.3% 5.47
Under 3.5 81.7% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.58
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 62.4% 1.60
Toulouse / Bordeaux 69.4% 1.44
Draw / Bordeaux 68.2% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
11.9
7.4
2.9
0.8
0.2
1
10.7
14.2
7.8
3.0
0.9
0.2
2
6.0
7.0
4.1
1.6
0.5
0.1
3
2.1
2.4
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
4
0.6
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.