Saturday 12 May 2018, 22:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
52%
29%
19%
Home win
52.0%
Draw
29.0%
Away win
19.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 19.0% | 5.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.5% | 7.98 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.0% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.8% | 5.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.6% | 15.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
| No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Toulouse | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.5
|
8.0
|
3.2
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.8
|
12.9
|
4.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.5
|
8.5
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
4.0
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Oct 2019
Toulouse
1-3
Bordeaux
Feb 2019
Bordeaux
2-1
Toulouse
Aug 2018
Toulouse
2-1
Bordeaux
Sep 2017
Toulouse
0-1
Bordeaux
Jan 2017
Bordeaux
1-0
Toulouse
Aug 2016
Toulouse
4-1
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.