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Saturday 21 April 2018, 21:00 Stadium Municipal Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
37% 33% 30%
Home win
37.4%
Draw
33.0%
Away win
29.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 37.4% 2.67
Draw 33.0% 3.03
Angers 29.6% 3.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.7% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.3% 6.55
Over 1.5 58.4% 1.71
Under 1.5 41.6% 2.40
Over 2.5 30.6% 3.27
Under 2.5 69.4% 1.44
Over 3.5 13.1% 7.62
Under 3.5 86.9% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.7% 21.31
Under 4.5 95.3% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.0% 2.56
No 61.0% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 70.4% 1.42
Toulouse / Angers 67.0% 1.49
Draw / Angers 62.6% 1.60

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.3
12.1
5.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
1
14.2
14.2
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
7.8
7.0
3.1
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
2.7
2.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.