Saturday 1 September 2018, 21:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
45%
29%
26%
Home win
45.2%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
26.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 26.2% | 3.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 9.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.74 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 73.8% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Toulouse | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
8.4
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
13.5
|
6.3
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
8.8
|
4.4
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.1
|
4.1
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Toulouse
1-0
Guingamp
May 2018
Toulouse
2-1
Guingamp
Sep 2017
Guingamp
1-1
Toulouse
Apr 2017
Guingamp
2-1
Toulouse
Sep 2016
Toulouse
2-1
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.