Sunday 26 August 2018, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
59%
24%
17%
Home win
58.9%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
17.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Rennes | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.3% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.7% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.1% | 7.10 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| No | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Marseille / Rennes | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Rennes | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
5.2
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
11.4
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.8
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
6.0
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.8
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Marseille
3-1
Rennes
Aug 2025
Rennes
1-0
Marseille
May 2025
Marseille
4-2
Rennes
Jan 2025
Rennes
1-2
Marseille
Mar 2024
Rennes
2-0
Marseille
Dec 2023
Marseille
2-0
Rennes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.