Saturday 15 September 2018, 21:00
Stadium de Toulouse
Full time
20%
24%
56%
Home win
19.6%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
56.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 19.6% | 5.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.17 | — | — |
| Monaco | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.5% | 15.33 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.9% | 4.57 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.34 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| No | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Monaco | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.5
|
10.1
|
9.9
|
6.1
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 1 |
5.2
|
11.4
|
9.9
|
6.1
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
2.9
|
5.4
|
4.9
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
1.8
|
1.6
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Toulouse
2-2
Monaco
Oct 2025
Monaco
1-0
Toulouse
Mar 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Dec 2024
Monaco
2-0
Toulouse
Feb 2024
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Dec 2023
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.