Saturday 18 August 2018, 21:00
Stade Louis II
Full time
81%
12%
7%
Home win
81.5%
Draw
12.0%
Away win
6.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.0% | 8.32 | — | — |
| Lille | 6.5% | 15.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.7% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.3% | 44.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 9.3% | 10.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 24.8% | 4.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Monaco / Lille | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 18.5% | 5.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.3
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
5.8
|
5.4
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
7.9
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.7
|
8.1
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.5
|
6.3
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.7
|
3.9
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Monaco
0-1
Lille
Aug 2025
Lille
1-0
Monaco
Feb 2025
Lille
2-1
Monaco
Oct 2024
Monaco
0-0
Lille
Apr 2024
Monaco
1-0
Lille
Oct 2023
Lille
2-0
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.