Saturday 19 May 2018, 22:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
49%
28%
23%
Home win
48.8%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
22.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Lille | 22.9% | 4.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.3% | 9.72 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.2% | 3.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.1% | 4.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.9% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.0% | 11.16 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Lille | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.3
|
7.9
|
3.9
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
13.0
|
13.2
|
5.7
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
9.0
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
4.3
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Lille
4-1
Saint Etienne
Sep 2024
Saint Etienne
1-0
Lille
Mar 2022
Lille
0-0
Saint Etienne
Aug 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lille
May 2021
Lille
0-0
Saint Etienne
Nov 2020
Saint Etienne
1-1
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.