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Friday 27 April 2018, 21:45 Stade de la Mosson Full time
42% 31% 27%
Home win
41.6%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
27.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier 41.6% 2.41
Draw 31.3% 3.19
Saint Etienne 27.1% 3.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.7% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.3% 7.52
Over 1.5 62.3% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.7% 2.65
Over 2.5 34.5% 2.90
Under 2.5 65.5% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.8% 6.35
Under 3.5 84.2% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.0% 16.63
Under 4.5 94.0% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.9% 2.39
No 58.1% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Montpellier / Draw 72.9% 1.37
Montpellier / Saint Etienne 68.7% 1.46
Draw / Saint Etienne 58.4% 1.71

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.3
10.4
5.1
1.5
0.3
0.1
1
14.0
14.1
6.0
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
8.7
7.8
3.5
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
3.4
3.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Montpellier goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.