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Friday 6 April 2018, 21:45 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
12% 20% 68%
Home win
11.7%
Draw
20.0%
Away win
68.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 11.7% 8.55
Draw 20.0% 4.99
Paris Saint Germain 68.3% 1.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.0% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.0% 16.55
Over 1.5 79.1% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.9% 4.78
Over 2.5 55.4% 1.80
Under 2.5 44.6% 2.24
Over 3.5 33.0% 3.03
Under 3.5 67.0% 1.49
Over 4.5 16.8% 5.94
Under 4.5 83.2% 1.20

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.8% 2.09
No 52.2% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 31.7% 3.15
Saint Etienne / Paris Saint Germain 80.0% 1.25
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 88.3% 1.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.0
11.2
12.5
8.9
4.7
2.0
1
3.7
9.6
9.6
6.8
3.6
1.6
2
1.6
3.5
3.7
2.6
1.4
0.6
3
0.4
0.9
0.9
0.7
0.4
0.2
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.