Skip to content
Σ SigmaGoal
ΕΛ EN
Sign in
Saturday 3 March 2018, 18:00 Stade de l'Aube Full time
Estac Troyes
0–2
HT 0–0
Paris Saint Germain
9% 19% 73%
Home win
8.8%
Draw
18.6%
Away win
72.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Estac Troyes 8.8% 11.35 — —
Draw 18.6% 5.38 — —
Paris Saint Germain 72.6% 1.38 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07 — —
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.32 — —
Over 1.5 77.5% 1.29 — —
Under 1.5 22.5% 4.45 — —
Over 2.5 53.3% 1.88 — —
Under 2.5 46.7% 2.14 — —
Over 3.5 31.0% 3.23 — —
Under 3.5 69.0% 1.45 — —
Over 4.5 15.4% 6.51 — —
Under 4.5 84.6% 1.18 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.9% 2.39 — —
No 58.1% 1.72 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Estac Troyes / Draw 27.4% 3.65 — —
Estac Troyes / Paris Saint Germain 81.4% 1.23 — —
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 91.2% 1.10 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
12.6
14.3
10.4
5.7
2.5
1
3.3
8.8
9.0
6.5
3.6
1.6
2
1.2
2.6
2.8
2.1
1.1
0.5
3
0.3
0.5
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
4
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Estac Troyes goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Estac Troyes
L L W D L
Paris Saint Germain
W W W W W

Head to head

May 2023 Estac Troyes 1-3 Paris Saint Germain Oct 2022 Paris Saint Germain 4-3 Estac Troyes May 2022 Paris Saint Germain 2-2 Estac Troyes Aug 2021 Estac Troyes 1-2 Paris Saint Germain Nov 2017 Paris Saint Germain 2-0 Estac Troyes

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.