Wednesday 29 November 2017, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
87%
10%
4%
Home win
86.7%
Draw
9.7%
Away win
3.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw | 9.7% | 10.33 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes | 3.6% | 27.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.3% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.7% | 36.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.3% | 8.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Estac Troyes | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Draw / Estac Troyes | 13.3% | 7.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.5
|
4.6
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
6.8
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.7
|
7.2
|
2.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
10.0
|
5.6
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
6.3
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
Estac Troyes
1-3
Paris Saint Germain
Oct 2022
Paris Saint Germain
4-3
Estac Troyes
May 2022
Paris Saint Germain
2-2
Estac Troyes
Aug 2021
Estac Troyes
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
Mar 2018
Estac Troyes
0-2
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.