Saturday 18 November 2017, 18:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
82%
13%
5%
Home win
81.7%
Draw
13.3%
Away win
5.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.3% | 7.49 | — | — |
| Nantes | 5.0% | 20.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.48 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 21.0% | 4.76 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.0% | 1.27 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| No | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 95.0% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Nantes | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
6.3
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.8
|
7.8
|
2.1
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.9
|
6.8
|
1.8
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.4
|
4.4
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.4
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
Nantes
Aug 2025
Nantes
0-1
Paris Saint Germain
Apr 2025
Nantes
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
Nov 2024
Paris Saint Germain
1-1
Nantes
Feb 2024
Nantes
0-2
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2023
Paris Saint Germain
2-1
Nantes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.