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Sunday 22 October 2017, 22:00 Orange Vélodrome Full time
Marseille
2–2
HT 1–1
Paris Saint Germain
24% 24% 51%
Home win
24.2%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
51.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Marseille 24.2% 4.13 — —
Draw 24.5% 4.09 — —
Paris Saint Germain 51.3% 1.95 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.2% 1.06 — —
Under 0.5 5.8% 17.33 — —
Over 1.5 80.3% 1.25 — —
Under 1.5 19.7% 5.08 — —
Over 2.5 57.0% 1.75 — —
Under 2.5 43.0% 2.33 — —
Over 3.5 34.6% 2.89 — —
Under 3.5 65.4% 1.53 — —
Over 4.5 18.0% 5.55 — —
Under 4.5 82.0% 1.22 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.3% 1.72 — —
No 41.7% 2.40 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Marseille / Draw 48.7% 2.05 — —
Marseille / Paris Saint Germain 75.5% 1.32 — —
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 75.8% 1.32 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.8
8.6
8.3
5.0
2.2
0.8
1
5.4
11.5
9.7
5.8
2.6
0.9
2
3.5
6.4
5.7
3.4
1.5
0.6
3
1.4
2.5
2.2
1.3
0.6
0.2
4
0.4
0.7
0.7
0.4
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Marseille goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Marseille
L W W W D
Paris Saint Germain
W W D W W

Head to head

Feb 2026 Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Marseille Sep 2025 Marseille 1-0 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2025 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Marseille Oct 2024 Marseille 0-3 Paris Saint Germain Mar 2024 Marseille 0-2 Paris Saint Germain Sep 2023 Paris Saint Germain 4-0 Marseille

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.