Sunday 17 September 2017, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
73%
16%
11%
Home win
72.7%
Draw
16.2%
Away win
11.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.2% | 6.17 | — | — |
| Lyon | 11.1% | 9.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.0% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.0% | 33.56 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 11.6% | 8.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| No | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Lyon | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 27.3% | 3.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.0
|
2.1
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.5
|
7.2
|
3.3
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.2
|
9.1
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
8.1
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.5
|
5.4
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.9
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Paris Saint Germain
1-2
Lyon
Nov 2025
Lyon
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
Feb 2025
Lyon
2-3
Paris Saint Germain
Dec 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Lyon
Apr 2024
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Lyon
Sep 2023
Lyon
1-4
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.