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Saturday 26 August 2017, 18:15 Stade de la Beaujoire Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
27% 24% 49%
Home win
27.0%
Draw
24.4%
Away win
48.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 27.0% 3.71
Draw 24.4% 4.09
Lyon 48.6% 2.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.3% 19.02
Over 1.5 81.8% 1.22
Under 1.5 18.2% 5.50
Over 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Under 2.5 40.7% 2.46
Over 3.5 36.9% 2.71
Under 3.5 63.1% 1.59
Over 4.5 19.7% 5.07
Under 4.5 80.3% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.9% 1.64
No 39.1% 2.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 51.4% 1.94
Nantes / Lyon 75.6% 1.32
Draw / Lyon 73.0% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
7.6
7.4
4.4
2.0
0.7
1
5.3
11.3
9.5
5.7
2.5
0.9
2
3.8
6.8
6.1
3.6
1.6
0.6
3
1.6
2.9
2.6
1.6
0.7
0.3
4
0.5
0.9
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Lyon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.